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2019 Presidential Elections_Laying An Improper Foundation!

2019-elections

 

It is no longer news that the National Elections in Nigeria will begin in a few days from today, 14 days, if all goes according to INEC’s time-table.

It is also no longer news that the two dominant parties – the ruling APC and the PDP – have been criss-crossing Nigeria, canvassing votes. 

What is no longer news is the hue and cry of the PDP and its managers (elected and self-appointed) with every APC presidential campaign and the humongous crowd it draws! It appears that one political party is running scared! Or how do you account for OBJ’s alarmist comments that APC had perfected plans to rig, hence the large crowds (fresh from a beneficiary of rigging!); or Uche Secondus’s call on INEC to disqualify PMB because 2 Niger Republic governors attended an APC rally in the north (Cheap coming from a party whose default mode is too appeal to “America” and “the EU” to warn PMB against rigging an election that had not taken place!)?

It appears to me that the PDP now acknowledges that the only way out for it from the obvious impending political loss is to try and discredit the process. 

Truth is, in any electoral contest, there is bound to be a winner and a loser; and the Electoral Act has adequate provisions for any one dissatisfied with the outcome of the elections to contest same through the court system; and our recent history shows that this route is effective. Cue the restoration of stolen mandates in Anambra, Ekiti, Osun and Edo states since the beginning of this Republic in 1999!

So, it shows the paucity of ideas, this poor foundation laying tactics of the PDP of the shrinking of its electoral prospects. So, assuming, but not conceding, what happens if the PDP now causes an electoral upset by winning? After discrediting the very same process? PDP should go out with dignity if it loses, not discredit the process. That is the way of democracy. 

Not that you PDP will know this, since one man, one vote was anathema to them in their years of rulership, save in 2015 when they had humane politicians at the top of your party, not desperados! 

My name is Adewale Adeniji. I wrote this message. 2nd February 2019.

Our Nation_Ponder This Series_Corruption. Everyone Is A Victim.

Corruption Background Image.jpg

Corruption. A lot rail against it, some defend it, many condone it. But it really affects all of us, whether we acknowledge it or not; whether we see the effects immediately or not. Regardless of our social standing, without prejudice to our clout or influence, corruption is an ill wind that blows nobody any good. (Permit the cliche)

Let’s take tax evasion, for example, which is a form of corruption. Those who pay a fair share, whether they want to or not are most likely to be those who work in the formal sectors of the economy, those whose income can be tracked. For many in the category, their tax is deducted at source. For some others, they are compelled, by reason of trade or professional requirement to pay. In some cases those in this category do not pay the total tax they ought to. What they pay is “guesstimated” (a corruption {sorry now!} of “guess” and “estimated”!)

More difficulty comes with the high-end earners in the informal sector, the business or professional categories. Without mincing words, observance for many in these categories is more in breach than compliance. There are several legitimate and less-so legitimate ways of not paying their fair share, or at all!

So, how does it affect everyone? For the folk that pay their fare share, with or without compulsion, they are affected in the schools, hospitals that ought to have been built and equipped; in the roads that ought to have been constructed and/or properly maintained; in the social safety provisions that ought to have been designed and funded. But are not!

For many in this tax paying category, because of corruption of paying or avoiding due tax revenue by others, they now have to pay premium for basic education; they get mis-diagnosis for treatable ailments or ailments that if caught on time should not be terminal, and even when diagnosed, they go through hell and back to afford palliative medication that keeps them coming back for more ineffectual treatment; they risk limb and life on roads that are not safe for human passage; they are left bereft of succor when they have financial emergencies! And they repeat this cycle, day after day, year after year, until some die prematurely in middle age! A form of constructive homicide tax defaulters ought to be charged with, if you ask me! 

For the upper class, those who have perfected the art of gaming the system, they live in constant fear of their lives because the gulf between their status (sustained by the way with the full taxes paid by others) and the generality of others. They virtually live in prison, behind high walls, they hoard the protection of policemen who should ordinarily keep the peace among generality of the citizenry. When they do fall sick, they travel abroad to pay premium because their dishonesty has denied their immediate environment funds to build, equip and run first class health institutions. They pay premium for vehicles that can ply the failed roads, and pay higher premium to avoid plying those roads by investing in helicopters. One can on and on!

If only everyone pays his/her fair share of tax! Then maybe, just maybe, all will not lose out.

Then there is the issue of embezzlement, brazen or subtle, the popular form of corruption known to all. It is now known that the crudest way to become ‘financially independent’ is to hold government office, or be a beneficiary of government largesse. No, not for provision or delivery of service, but for what you can get out of gaming the system, deliberately broken. This malaise is not political party, gender or faith specific, so no one should come here to beat any chest! It is pervasive, among public office holders, and sadly even in the private sector, and their hangers-on. 

Yes, everybody loses in the end. 

Where public services are deliberately compromised to feed corruption – the roads that are budgeted for but not constructed or maintained, the hospitals that are stocked with fake medications , or no medication at all despite budgetary provisions for them, the public transport system deliberated compromised so that more funds can be allocated for repairs and purchases that are never done etc.; everyone suffer the telling effect. Those who perpetrate these dastardly acts, and those who see and turn the other eye, hoping for a time when “my turn/the turn of my person, will come”, or when for primordial/parochial sentiments, condone or defend such acts!

Maybe time has come for a PERSONAL conversation with ourselves? Would we want our lives run the way we have allowed our governments, and public enterprises’ to be run? Would we wish that our children, born and unborn, continue to suffer for our collective amnesia? Oh, yes people can emigrate, but how many can do so? Even for those who emigrate, would you rather have access to a little of a whole, or a whole of a whole? 

Each person to his corner, to her tent, meditate. How have I been part of the problem? What can I do, in my little corner to begin to reverse (note I am not saying change, for that is a long, long way down the road) the trend? 

It will be a long, hard grind; but as they say, the journey of a thousand miles begins with just a step! And please this is not a political piece! 

Ponder this, dear reader.

©Adewale Adeniji. 3rd December 2018.

Poem_Chessy Chalkers

CHALK AND CHEESE-ILLUSTRATION

Marabouts at fork-roads
Fetching fetish feasts;
Curves unseen divining,
base minds emboldening.
Foretelling fortunes fortuitously,
plying Russian Roulettes you
Boogie Greenback diviners.

Know ye not that these
twain of a truth tussles?
Chalks and Cheeses.
Thou however thread both
together, with long ropes
of perfidious puns; parlayed
for gains so gross it choked.

Straight faced, your lot
promised a predator
keys to a nursery, when
you knew better; yet to line
thy wallets, you cared less.

How long captivated would
thy mind be manipulated,
you slaves of ambition,
worshipper on greed’s altar?
Mangled minded moguls too,
unhinged by base desires,
thou took these prophesies to heart,
parsing these divining assurance
these contrived courses of crass
as proof of assured occurrence!

But He laughs in derision, He
who knows tomorrow from yesterday
because His principles always
put cheese and chalk asunder.
Finito!!!

© Adewale Adeniji. October 2018.

Our Nation_Politics of 2019 Presidential Elections_Dying Throes of A Privileged Class.

Take another look at these pictures. A motley crowd eager to gain the approval of former President Olusegun Obasanjo (OBJ), apparently at the behest of the presidential nominee of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Alhaji Atiku Abubakar (Atiku).

I am also not surprised though with the images showing some ‘clerics’ in the mix. They will try to explain it away that they ‘only facilitated the meeting’. Na so! 🤣. But I digress.

Despite having sworn by his ‘faith’ never to support Atiku’s presidential ambition, OBJ in his presser after the event went on record to officially reverse himself by endorsing Atiku’s candidacy. According to the former president, Atiku, having purged himself of his ‘sins’ is now a fit and proper person to become Nigeria’s No. 1 citizen.

First, all is fair in politics. Every politician has a legitimate right to seek endorsements. Even President Muhammadu Buhari (PMB) sought OBJ’s endorsement in 2015. So, I do not agree with anyone who lashes at Atiku for seeking OBJ’s endorsement, or at OBJ for giving it. Truth is, if things had not gone awry between them, I am sure PMB himself would have made that pilgrimage to OBJ. In fact, not that he didn’t try.

Second, OBJ reserves the right to endorse anyone for any elections, just as you and I. It remains his inalienable right. So, I equally disagree with anyone who feels OBJ is dated and irrelevant. That, is beside the point. His lack of worth to some, equals his bag full of worth to others! It is his right. And it is really not about electoral value.

So, what is my point, exactly?

What just happened in Abeokuta is the privileged class of Nigeria’s rent economy banding together to forestall total annihilation that a Buhari 2nd term portends for them. If you do not see this, trust me they do! And they are panicking.

It is an Hail Mary (desperate) move. The possibility of PMB’s continuation in office in 2019 threatens their personal economies, endangers their lifestyles, built on free access to government patronage, which has been slammed shut since June 2015. It is a dire attempt to present a ‘united’ front against one common ‘enemy’. And that exposes their futility of these attempts. Let me explain.

It is really not about the masses of our people. Forget the rhetorics. It is pocket book economics – for those who still mourn the loss of their access, post 2015 presidential polls. Yes, there must be justifications – in comes ‘nepotism of appointment of service chiefs’, ‘herdsmen killings’, ‘illiteracy of the incumbent’ et all.

Yet again, these conglomeration just gave PMB a plausible campaign theme: “THEM (read those who caused the morass of our country with their self-cantered privileges) against US (every common man, the talakawas!)” Now, I‘m sure you just sniggered!

Listen, there is no one who truly knows OBJ who will believe he is not running scared! Trust me! As with the motley crowd. OBJ, for instance, knows that he stepped on the tiger’s tail when he took on PMB. Why? Because of the manner of PMB’s sharp retort, particularly the questions PMB raised thereafter! What else would one make of statements like, “if anyone tries to jail me, I will open my mouth and expose…”?

Of all the things this class has thrown at the incumbent, nothing seem to have given them the assurance that PMB has been dealt the knock-out blow they had hoped for. So, what to do? You got it right – the enemy of my enemy becomes a friend! Band together to save the privilege.

Will it work? Well, it well might, if the incumbent fails to do the needful.

Whether it works or not, I am certain that this will happen:

This camaraderie will ultimately unravel – woefully. If this does not implode now, it surely will if Atiku wins the presidency. Why? Because their interests are at the same time complimentary and contradictory! Recipe for chaos; and because you cannot cage the kind of power the 1999 constitution invests in a sitting president! OBJ ought to know this because it has failed him thrice now – with the Yar’Adua, Goodluck and Buhari presidencies!

Just watch out. For now, it is open season on alliances and realignment of forces, and there is nothing immoral or illegitimate about it. One thing remains constant though – elections cannot be freely rigged as before!!!

I am smiling in Egun language! 🤣😂

©Adewale Adeniji. 11/10/2018.

Our Nation_Politics_2018 PDP Presidential Election Primaries. Winner: Alhaji Atiku Abubakar.

Total Votes Cast: 3221

Total Void Votes: 68

Candidates & Authentic Scores:

Atiku Abubakar: 1,532

Amin Tambuwal: 693

Bukola Saraki: 317

Rabiu Kwankwaso: 158

Aminu Dankwabo: 111

Sule Lamido: 96

Ahmed Makarfi: 74

Taminu Turaki: 65

Attaihiru Bafarawa: 48

David Mark: 35

Jonah Jang: 19

Datti Ahmed: 5

All eleven (11) other aspirants scored 1621 votes amongst themselves, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar scored 1,532.

His nearest opponent, Governor Aminu Tambuwal of Sokoto State scores 693 votes. Atiku Abubakar’s votes more than doubled Tambuwal’s votes!

Whatever comes out later as to how this result came out this way, none of the aspirants can claim to hold a candle to the acceptance of Atiku Abubakar by the PDP. I watched majority of the voting and counting process. I saw no underhand play in the open.

For avoidance of doubt and with due respect to all the other political parties and personalities, the coming 2018 presidential elections will be between the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and it will be a close run thing!

So, barring any unforeseen circumstances the occupant of Aso Rock come 29th May 2019 will be either the incumbent, President Muhammadu Buhari or the a former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. There will be no neophyte in power in Aso Rock come 2019, that is for sure.

One hopes this will be a campaign of issues. Watching Atiku’s speech at the PDP convention and that of President Muhammadu Buhari at the APC convention (also yesterday) where his nomination was confirmed, it may well be. Both outlined their visions. Atiku, what he believes the APC administration has got wrong; and PMB what he believes his administration has achieved in the past 3 and a half years.

We know who the running mate of PMB would be. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, it should be the Vice President, Professor Yemi Osibajo. Whoever Atiku chooses, the coming campaign will indeed be mouth watering for political buffs!

For my recent posts on these two Nominees, please read:

Our Nation_Our Politics. WHY PMB SHOULD BE EASILY RE-ELECTED IN 2019 SERIES, Parts 1-5 & Our Nation_Political Permutations for 2019 Presidential Elections Series_Atiku Abubakar_Can He Overcome His Miscalculations? All published in September 2018.

© Adewale Adeniji. 7th October 2018.

Our Nation_2018 Independence Anniversary_Commemorative Poem_ “Loud Silence”

Deep breaths

Furtive head shakes

Moaning sighs

Vacant looks.

Breath, breath boy!

What’s gwan?

Darting looks, here, there

Still not a word!

Is it cowrie issues?

No? Oh, a maiden?

Or, or idea troubles

No? Now, what ails you?

That deep sigh again…

And bowed head

With Furrowed brows..

What now in Iroko’s name?

All entreaties done

Silent you remain

No comments?

Or Complaints?

Very loud indeed,

this studious silence.

Birth something, a sign..

Nothing? Oh well.

Come anon, reveal.

Expose the labyrinth

of your mind; thoughts

that a weakling make

of valiant veterans.

That time of the year again.

To look back. What could’ve

been. Well, we press forward.

© Adewale Adeniji. 01/10/2018.

Our Politics_ 2018 APC’s Lagos Gubernatorial Primaries.

Ambode et Tinubu
 
APC’s Lagos Nunc Dimitis is being sung by the incumbent. The gloves are off. Even if Ambode loses the primaries tomorrow, Sanwo-Olu has just been dealt a fatal blow!
 
Arrested in the US nite club for spending fake dollars? O wow!
 
A man that is down needs fear no fall! He is going down screaming and kicking. Even if he is now impeached, the damage is done.
 
Oh wow!